Wednesday 1 May 2013

Local elections tomorrow

The surge in support for Nigel Farage's party means the Tories are prepared for losses well in excess of the 350 seats forecast by election gurus Rallings and Thrasher. The figure of 800 seats that appears in yesterday's Sun can almost certainly be dismissed as expectation management but it's not unreasonable to suggest that the party, which currently holds 26 of the 27 county councils up for election, could lose between 500 and 600.

Nigel Farage said on the Today programme that his party's membership has risen by 50 per cent this calendar year. Another UKIP election candidate was unmasked as an extremist [Somerset candidate Alex Wood]!

However, he came unstuck over tax. After last week distancing himself from his party's general election policy of a 31 per cent flat tax rate, the UKIP leader spoke of introducing a "two tier flat tax", an amusing contradiction in terms. I suspect he is making it up as he goes along.

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